Predicting the Pros
Predictions/CeeDee Lamb
CeeDee Lamb

Player breakdown

CeeDee Lamb

Oklahoma · 2020 Draft Class

6-2198 lbs1st round, 17th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~27
EliteAll-American x11000+ NFL
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

91%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2020DAL16141117493512.6558.4
2021DAL1613120791,10213.9668.9
2022DAL17171561071,35912.7979.9
2023DAL17171811351,7491312102.9
2024DAL15151521011,19411.8679.6
2025DAL1413117751,07714.4376.9
Career95898375717,41613.04178.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2017OklahomaBig 121446807717.557.6
2018OklahomaBig 1214651,1581117.882.7
2019OklahomaBig 1213621,3271421.4102.1
Career411733,2923219.080.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

89%

ML model output

Context Prob

95%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

4

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.165
BMI 25.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (198 lbs)+0.252
Physical production synergy+0.237

Top Negative Factors

Recruit dominator synergy-0.279
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.172
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.161

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)