Player breakdown
Gabriel Davis
Central Florida · 2020 Draft Class
6-2216 lbs4th round, 128th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~27
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
88%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | BUF | 16 | 11 | 62 | 35 | 599 | 17.1 | 7 | 37.4 |
| 2021 | BUF | 16 | 4 | 63 | 35 | 549 | 15.7 | 6 | 34.3 |
| 2022 | BUF | 15 | 15 | 93 | 48 | 836 | 17.4 | 7 | 55.7 |
| 2023 | BUF | 17 | 17 | 81 | 45 | 746 | 16.6 | 7 | 43.9 |
| 2024 | JAX | 10 | 9 | 42 | 20 | 239 | 12 | 2 | 23.9 |
| 2025 | BUF | 6 | 5 | 18 | 12 | 129 | 10.8 | 1 | 21.5 |
| Career | 80 | 61 | 359 | 195 | 3,098 | 15.9 | 30 | 38.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | UCF | American | 13 | 27 | 391 | 4 | 14.5 | 30.1 |
| 2018 | UCF | American | 12 | 53 | 815 | 7 | 15.4 | 67.9 |
| 2019 | UCF | American | 12 | 72 | 1,241 | 12 | 17.2 | 103.4 |
| Career | 37 | 152 | 2,447 | 23 | 16.1 | 66.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
91%
ML model output
Context Prob
82%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.330
Recruit dominator synergy+0.400
Physical production synergy+0.328
Top Negative Factors
+9.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.675
Improvement accelerating (+2.2) — getting better faster each year-0.201
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output-0.158