Player breakdown
Jaylin Lane
Virginia Tech · 2025 Draft Class
5-10191 lbs4th round, 128th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~24
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: $1.5M
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
2%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | WAS | 15 | 4 | 32 | 16 | 225 | 14.1 | 0 | 15 |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Middle Tennessee State | CUSA | 7 | 13 | 122 | 1 | 9.4 | 17.4 |
| 2021 | Middle Tennessee State | CUSA | 12 | 42 | 466 | 4 | 11.1 | 38.8 |
| 2022 | Middle Tennessee State | CUSA | 11 | 69 | 940 | 5 | 13.6 | 85.5 |
| 2023 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 12 | 41 | 538 | 6 | 13.1 | 44.8 |
| 2024 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 12 | 38 | 466 | 2 | 12.3 | 38.8 |
| Career | 54 | 203 | 2,532 | 18 | 12.5 | 46.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
0%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.420
BMI 27.4 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (191 lbs)+0.170
Efficiency consistency: 1.03 — highly consistent across seasons+0.151
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.446
-12.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.566
Improvement accelerating (+6.7) — getting better faster each year-0.444