Player breakdown
Kareem Kelly
USC · 2003 Draft Class
6-0186 lbs6th round, 203rd overallAge: ~44
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
39%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | USC | Pac-10 | 11 | 55 | 796 | 4 | 14.5 | 72.4 |
| 2001 | USC | Pac-10 | 11 | 46 | 768 | 3 | 16.7 | 69.8 |
| 2002 | USC | Pac-10 | 13 | 46 | 605 | 4 | 13.2 | 46.5 |
| Career | 35 | 147 | 2,169 | 11 | 14.8 | 62.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
12%
ML model output
Context Prob
80%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
5
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.218
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.686
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.03x — route-running independent of system+0.182
Top Negative Factors
+7.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.729
0.31 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.420
Accounted for 1.78 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.407