Player breakdown
Kelley Washington
Tennessee · 2003 Draft Class
6-2223 lbs3rd round, 65th overallAge at Draft: 24Age: ~47
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
14%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | CIN | 16 | 3 | 47 | 22 | 299 | 13.6 | 4 | 18.7 |
| 2004 | CIN | 16 | 2 | 50 | 31 | 378 | 12.2 | 3 | 23.6 |
| 2005 | CIN | 7 | 0 | 19 | 10 | 101 | 10.1 | 1 | 14.4 |
| 2006 | CIN | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 115 | 12.8 | 1 | 23 |
| 2008 | NWE | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0.3 |
| 2009 | BAL | 15 | 2 | 48 | 34 | 431 | 12.7 | 2 | 28.7 |
| 2010 | SDG | 8 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 173 | 13.3 | 1 | 21.6 |
| Career | 77 | 8 | 192 | 120 | 1,500 | 12.5 | 12 | 19.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | Tennessee | SEC | 12 | 64 | 1,010 | 5 | 15.8 | 84.2 |
| 2002 | Tennessee | SEC | 4 | 23 | 443 | 1 | 19.3 | 110.8 |
| Career | 16 | 87 | 1,453 | 6 | 16.7 | 90.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
57%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.670
BMI 28.6 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (223 lbs)+0.218
+33.9 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.213
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.622
0.38 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.237
0.07 TDs/catch — check-down usage pattern-0.221