Player breakdown
Kevin Coleman Jr.
Missouri · 2026 Draft Class
5-10179 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~21
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
15%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Louisville | ACC | 14 | 26 | 362 | 2 | 13.9 | 25.9 |
| 2024 | Mississippi State | SEC | 12 | 74 | 932 | 6 | 12.6 | 77.7 |
| 2025 | Missouri | SEC | 13 | 66 | 732 | 1 | 11.1 | 56.3 |
| Career | 39 | 166 | 2,026 | 9 | 12.2 | 51.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
14%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.187
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.98 — elite recruit at elite school+0.192
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.04x — route-running independent of system+0.178
Top Negative Factors
+4.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.723
0.08 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.458
Physical production synergy-0.375