Player breakdown
Marquise Goodwin
Texas · 2013 Draft Class
5-9183 lbs3rd round, 78th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
7%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | BUF | 12 | 1 | 32 | 17 | 283 | 16.6 | 3 | 23.6 |
| 2014 | BUF | 10 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 4.2 |
| 2015 | BUF | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 12 | 0 | 12 |
| 2016 | BUF | 15 | 9 | 68 | 29 | 431 | 14.9 | 3 | 28.7 |
| 2017 | SFO | 16 | 16 | 105 | 56 | 962 | 17.2 | 2 | 60.1 |
| 2018 | SFO | 11 | 8 | 43 | 23 | 395 | 17.2 | 4 | 35.9 |
| 2019 | SFO | 9 | 6 | 21 | 12 | 186 | 15.5 | 1 | 20.7 |
| 2021 | CHI | 14 | 2 | 40 | 20 | 313 | 15.7 | 1 | 22.4 |
| 2022 | SEA | 13 | 2 | 42 | 27 | 387 | 14.3 | 4 | 29.8 |
| 2023 | CLE | 12 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 67 | 16.8 | 0 | 5.6 |
| Career | 114 | 44 | 375 | 191 | 3,090 | 16.2 | 18 | 27.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | Texas | Big 12 | 14 | 30 | 279 | 1 | 9.3 | 19.9 |
| 2010 | Texas | Big 12 | 11 | 31 | 324 | 1 | 10.5 | 29.5 |
| 2011 | Texas | Big 12 | 12 | 33 | 421 | 2 | 12.8 | 35.1 |
| 2012 | Texas | Big 12 | 13 | 26 | 340 | 3 | 13.1 | 26.2 |
| Career | 50 | 120 | 1,364 | 7 | 11.4 | 27.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
6%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.473
Program WR pipeline: 7% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+0.290
11.4 avg YPR per season — average consistent efficiency+0.152
Top Negative Factors
-24.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.768
0.14 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.476
Accounted for 1.18 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.416