Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Leonte Carroo
Leonte Carroo

Player breakdown

Leonte Carroo

Rutgers · 2016 Draft Class

6-0211 lbs3rd round, 86th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~32
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

74%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2016MIA14263299.712.1
2017MIA140127699.904.9
2018MIA90429447110.4
Career372221219216.025.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2013RutgersAmerican928478917.153.1
2014RutgersBig Ten13551,0861019.783.5
2015RutgersBig Ten8398091020.7101.1
Career301222,3732919.579.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

79%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.240
Physical production synergy+0.376
46.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.315

Top Negative Factors

Scout dominator depth synergy-0.426
Recruit dominator synergy-0.257
Improvement accelerating (+1.3) — getting better faster each year-0.214

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)