Player breakdown
Marcus Bellon
Nevada · 2026 Draft Class
5-7178 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
3%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | UTEP | CUSA | 12 | 5 | 81 | 1 | 16.2 | 6.8 |
| 2023 | UTEP | CUSA | 4 | 10 | 97 | 0 | 9.7 | 24.3 |
| 2024 | Nevada | MWC | 13 | 39 | 522 | 4 | 13.4 | 40.2 |
| 2025 | Nevada | MWC | 10 | 25 | 242 | 1 | 9.7 | 24.2 |
| Career | 39 | 79 | 942 | 6 | 11.9 | 24.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
1%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.391
BMI 27.9 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (178 lbs)+0.137
33.2 career ypg — limited college production+0.127
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 4% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.839
+5.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.741
Improvement accelerating (+5.4) — getting better faster each year-0.504