Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Michael Floyd
Michael Floyd

Player breakdown

Michael Floyd

Notre Dame · 2012 Draft Class

6-3220 lbs1st round, 13th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

86%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2012ARI163864556212.5235.1
2013ARI1616113651,04116565.1
2014ARI1614994784117.9652.6
2015ARI156895284916.3656.6
20162TM158763748813.2532.5
2016ARI137703344613.5434.3
2016NWE21644210.5121
2017MIN1111710787.807.1
2018WAS13324101001017.7
Career117595803034,44714.73038.0
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2008Notre DameInd114871971565.4
2009Notre DameInd744795918.1113.6
2010Notre DameInd12791,025121385.4
2011Notre DameInd131001,147911.588.2
Career432713,6863713.685.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

95%

ML model output

Context Prob

70%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

3

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 14% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.157
Physical production synergy+0.505
+28.8 ypg vs. draft class average — above average+0.282

Top Negative Factors

Recruit dominator synergy-0.234
53.8 yards per adjusted target opportunity — solid efficiency vs. opportunities-0.169
Height-adjusted speed: 4.22s — elite speed for frame-0.141

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)