Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Greg Jennings
Greg Jennings

Player breakdown

Greg Jennings

Western Michigan · 2006 Draft Class

5-11197 lbs2nd round, 52nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~42
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

86%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2006GNB14111044563214345.1
2007GNB1313845392017.41270.8
2008GNB1615140801,29216.2980.8
2009GNB1613119681,11316.4469.6
2010GNB1616125761,26516.61279.1
2011GNB13131016794914.2973
2012GNB85623636610.2445.8
2013MIN15151066880411.8453.6
2014MIN1613925974212.6646.4
2015MIA165361920810.9113
Career1431199695718,29114.56458.0
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2002Western MichiganMAC810138013.817.3
2003Western MichiganMAC12561,0501418.887.5
2004Western MichiganMAC11741,0921114.899.3
2005Western MichiganMAC11981,2591412.8114.5
Career422383,5393914.984.3

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

98%

ML model output

Context Prob

72%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

4

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.239
Physical production synergy+0.476
+29.9 ypg vs. draft class average — above average+0.280

Top Negative Factors

Improvement accelerating (+8.1) — getting better faster each year-0.385
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.276
Recruit dominator synergy-0.242

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)