Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Ryan Davis
Ryan Davis

Player breakdown

Ryan Davis

Utah · 2026 Draft Class

5-10189 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~31
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

23%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2013UCLAPac-12119099
2016AuburnSEC132519417.814.9
2017AuburnSEC148481559.758.2
2018AuburnSEC136954617.942
2020UABCUSA63450157.5
2021UABCUSA913161012.417.9
2022UABCUSA5674012.314.8
2023New MexicoMWC1121255112.123.2
2024New MexicoMWC1254747313.862.3
2025UtahBig 121262725411.760.4
Career963383,5711510.637.2

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

23%

ML model output

Context Prob

35%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.237
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.182
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.76x — route-running independent of system+0.174

Top Negative Factors

+6.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.704
Improvement accelerating (+15.6) — getting better faster each year-0.514
Physical production synergy-0.496

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)