Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Sidney Rice
Sidney Rice

Player breakdown

Sidney Rice

South Carolina · 2007 Draft Class

6-3200 lbs2nd round, 44th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~40
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

89%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2007MIN134533139612.8430.5
2008MIN13331151419.4410.8
2009MIN1614121831,31215.8882
2010MIN65421728016.5246.7
2011SEA99573248415.1253.8
2012SEA1616825074815746.8
2013SEA86351523115.4328.9
Career81574212433,59214.83044.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2005South CarolinaSEC11701,1431316.3103.9
2006South CarolinaSEC13721,0901015.183.8
Career241422,2332315.793.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

94%

ML model output

Context Prob

57%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 20% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.237
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.491
Physical production synergy+0.290

Top Negative Factors

Scout dominator depth synergy-0.404
52.7 yards per adjusted target opportunity — solid efficiency vs. opportunities-0.145
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.31x — route-running independent of system-0.129

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)