Player breakdown
Jabar Gaffney
Florida · 2002 Draft Class
6-1193 lbs2nd round, 33rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~45
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
32%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | HOU | 16 | 14 | 81 | 41 | 483 | 11.8 | 1 | 30.2 |
| 2003 | HOU | 16 | 11 | 57 | 34 | 402 | 11.8 | 2 | 25.1 |
| 2004 | HOU | 16 | 12 | 68 | 41 | 632 | 15.4 | 2 | 39.5 |
| 2005 | HOU | 16 | 13 | 90 | 55 | 492 | 8.9 | 2 | 30.8 |
| 2006 | NWE | 11 | 6 | 20 | 11 | 142 | 12.9 | 1 | 12.9 |
| 2007 | NWE | 16 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 449 | 12.5 | 5 | 28.1 |
| 2008 | NWE | 16 | 7 | 65 | 38 | 468 | 12.3 | 2 | 29.3 |
| 2009 | DEN | 16 | 7 | 87 | 54 | 732 | 13.6 | 2 | 45.8 |
| 2010 | DEN | 16 | 11 | 112 | 65 | 875 | 13.5 | 2 | 54.7 |
| 2011 | WAS | 16 | 15 | 114 | 68 | 947 | 13.9 | 5 | 59.2 |
| 2012 | MIA | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 68 | 17 | 0 | 22.7 |
| Career | 158 | 103 | 754 | 447 | 5,690 | 12.7 | 24 | 36.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Florida | SEC | 12 | 71 | 1,184 | 14 | 16.7 | 98.7 |
| 2001 | Florida | SEC | 11 | 67 | 1,191 | 13 | 17.8 | 108.3 |
| Career | 23 | 138 | 2,375 | 27 | 17.2 | 103.3 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
27%
ML model output
Context Prob
65%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Improvement accelerating (+0.0) — getting better faster each year+0.641
BMI 25.5 — ideal frame for NFL WR (193 lbs)+0.237
+48.9 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.213
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.649
Recruit dominator synergy-0.164
71.0 yards per adjusted target opportunity — dominant efficiency vs. opportunities-0.160