Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Tahj Washington
Tahj Washington

Player breakdown

Tahj Washington

USC · 2024 Draft Class

5-10174 lbs7th round, 241st overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~25
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

30%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2025MIA61533712.306.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2019MemphisAmerican4332010.78
2020MemphisAmerican1143743617.367.5
2021USCPac-121254602111.150.2
2022USCPac-121450785615.756.1
2023USCPac-1213591,06281881.7
Career542093,2242115.459.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

25%

ML model output

Context Prob

57%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.339
Recruit dominator synergy+0.456
BMI 25.0 — ideal frame for NFL WR (174 lbs)+0.238

Top Negative Factors

+10.6 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.707
Improvement accelerating (+32.2) — getting better faster each year-0.423
0.38 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.299

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)