Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Walter Young
Walter Young

Player breakdown

Walter Young

Illinois · 2003 Draft Class

6-5214 lbs7th round, 226th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~46
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

11%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2003CAR70500000
2006PIT2011171708.5
Career90611717.001.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000IllinoisBig Ten1127403014.936.6
2001IllinoisBig Ten1144712616.264.7
2002IllinoisBig Ten1256822614.768.5
Career341271,9371215.357.0

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

5%

ML model output

Context Prob

42%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.239
Recruit dominator synergy+0.334
BMI 25.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (214 lbs)+0.190

Top Negative Factors

+1.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.731
Physical production synergy-0.507
Accounted for 1.81 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.403

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)