Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Reche Caldwell
Reche Caldwell

Player breakdown

Reche Caldwell

Florida · 2002 Draft Class

6-0194 lbs2nd round, 48th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~47
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

16%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2002SDG16243222089.5313
2003SDG94348801008.9
2004SDG66291831017.2351.7
2005SDG162432835212.6122
2006NWE16141026176012.5447.5
2007WAS8122151419.4017.6
Career71292731521,85112.21126.1
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000FloridaSEC1249760615.563.3
2001FloridaSEC11651,0591016.396.3
Career231141,8191616.079.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

9%

ML model output

Context Prob

57%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.332
BMI 26.3 — ideal frame for NFL WR (194 lbs)+0.195
0.70 TDs/game — dominant red-zone role in college+0.188

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.692
Physical production synergy-0.194
Team averaged 42.2 pass attempts/game — pass-heavy spread offensive system-0.180

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)