Player breakdown
Adam Jennings
Fresno St. · 2006 Draft Class
5-9181 lbs6th round, 184th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~43
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
41%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | ATL | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2007 | ATL | 16 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 62 | 10.3 | 1 | 3.9 |
| 2008 | 2TM | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2008 | ATL | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2008 | DET | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 59 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 62 | 10.3 | 1 | 1.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | Fresno State | WAC | 14 | 34 | 310 | 1 | 9.1 | 22.1 |
| 2003 | Fresno State | WAC | 14 | 11 | 118 | 0 | 10.7 | 8.4 |
| 2004 | Fresno State | WAC | 12 | 22 | 280 | 5 | 12.7 | 23.3 |
| 2005 | Fresno State | WAC | 12 | 22 | 278 | 3 | 12.6 | 23.2 |
| Career | 52 | 89 | 986 | 9 | 11.1 | 19.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
42%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.216
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.701
Recruit dominator synergy+0.472
Top Negative Factors
-33.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.745
0.17 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.472
Accounted for 0.64 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.390