
Player breakdown
Antwaan Randle El
Indiana · 2002 Draft Class
5-10191 lbs2nd round, 62nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~47
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
16%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | PIT | 16 | 0 | 65 | 47 | 489 | 10.4 | 2 | 30.6 |
| 2003 | PIT | 16 | 1 | 56 | 37 | 364 | 9.8 | 1 | 22.8 |
| 2004 | PIT | 16 | 7 | 63 | 43 | 601 | 14 | 3 | 37.6 |
| 2005 | PIT | 16 | 15 | 70 | 35 | 558 | 15.9 | 1 | 34.9 |
| 2006 | WAS | 16 | 16 | 63 | 32 | 351 | 11 | 3 | 21.9 |
| 2007 | WAS | 15 | 13 | 77 | 51 | 728 | 14.3 | 1 | 48.5 |
| 2008 | WAS | 16 | 16 | 87 | 53 | 593 | 11.2 | 4 | 37.1 |
| 2009 | WAS | 16 | 3 | 77 | 50 | 530 | 10.6 | 0 | 33.1 |
| 2010 | PIT | 16 | 0 | 39 | 22 | 253 | 11.5 | 0 | 15.8 |
| Career | 143 | 71 | 597 | 370 | 4,467 | 12.1 | 15 | 31.2 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | Indiana | Big Ten | 11 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 7.5 | 2.7 |
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
13%
ML model output
Context Prob
33%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.770
Recruit dominator synergy+0.489
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.275
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.275
-51.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.578
Accounted for 0.11 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.371