Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Antwaan Randle El
Antwaan Randle El

Player breakdown

Antwaan Randle El

Indiana · 2002 Draft Class

5-10191 lbs2nd round, 62nd overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~47
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

16%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2002PIT160654748910.4230.6
2003PIT16156373649.8122.8
2004PIT167634360114337.6
2005PIT1615703555815.9134.9
2006WAS1616633235111321.9
2007WAS1513775172814.3148.5
2008WAS1616875359311.2437.1
2009WAS163775053010.6033.1
2010PIT160392225311.5015.8
Career143715973704,46712.11531.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2001IndianaBig Ten1143007.52.7

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

13%

ML model output

Context Prob

33%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.770
Recruit dominator synergy+0.489
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.275

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.275
-51.7 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.578
Accounted for 0.11 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.371

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)