Player breakdown
Aldrick Robinson
SMU · 2011 Draft Class
5-10184 lbs6th round, 178th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~37
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
90%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | WAS | 15 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 237 | 21.5 | 3 | 15.8 |
| 2013 | WAS | 16 | 1 | 46 | 18 | 365 | 20.3 | 2 | 22.8 |
| 2014 | WAS | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1.2 |
| 2016 | ATL | 16 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 323 | 16.2 | 2 | 20.2 |
| 2017 | SFO | 16 | 1 | 48 | 19 | 260 | 13.7 | 2 | 16.3 |
| 2018 | MIN | 14 | 0 | 35 | 17 | 231 | 13.6 | 5 | 16.5 |
| Career | 82 | 5 | 180 | 86 | 1,422 | 16.5 | 14 | 17.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | SMU | CUSA | 9 | 10 | 166 | 0 | 16.6 | 18.4 |
| 2008 | SMU | CUSA | 10 | 59 | 1,047 | 11 | 17.7 | 104.7 |
| 2009 | SMU | CUSA | 13 | 47 | 800 | 5 | 17 | 61.5 |
| 2010 | SMU | CUSA | 14 | 65 | 1,301 | 14 | 20 | 92.9 |
| Career | 46 | 181 | 3,314 | 30 | 18.3 | 72.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
83%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
5
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.323
Recruit dominator synergy+0.406
Physical production synergy+0.369
Top Negative Factors
Improvement accelerating (+6.8) — getting better faster each year-0.448
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.408
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.57x — route-running independent of system-0.170