Player breakdown
Jerricho Cotchery
North Carolina St. · 2004 Draft Class
6-0212 lbs4th round, 108th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~44
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
84%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | NYJ | 12 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 60 | 10 | 0 | 5 |
| 2005 | NYJ | 16 | 1 | 32 | 19 | 251 | 13.2 | 0 | 15.7 |
| 2006 | NYJ | 16 | 16 | 125 | 82 | 961 | 11.7 | 6 | 60.1 |
| 2007 | NYJ | 15 | 15 | 127 | 82 | 1,130 | 13.8 | 2 | 75.3 |
| 2008 | NYJ | 16 | 16 | 112 | 71 | 858 | 12.1 | 5 | 53.6 |
| 2009 | NYJ | 14 | 12 | 96 | 57 | 821 | 14.4 | 3 | 58.6 |
| 2010 | NYJ | 14 | 5 | 86 | 41 | 433 | 10.6 | 2 | 30.9 |
| 2011 | PIT | 13 | 0 | 30 | 16 | 237 | 14.8 | 2 | 18.2 |
| 2012 | PIT | 14 | 2 | 27 | 17 | 205 | 12.1 | 0 | 14.6 |
| 2013 | PIT | 16 | 6 | 76 | 46 | 602 | 13.1 | 10 | 37.6 |
| 2014 | CAR | 15 | 13 | 78 | 48 | 580 | 12.1 | 1 | 38.7 |
| 2015 | CAR | 14 | 3 | 54 | 39 | 485 | 12.4 | 3 | 34.6 |
| Career | 175 | 89 | 854 | 524 | 6,623 | 12.6 | 34 | 37.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | North Carolina State | ACC | 10 | 6 | 75 | 0 | 12.5 | 7.5 |
| 2001 | North Carolina State | ACC | 11 | 41 | 483 | 4 | 11.8 | 43.9 |
| 2002 | North Carolina State | ACC | 14 | 67 | 1,192 | 7 | 17.8 | 85.1 |
| 2003 | North Carolina State | ACC | 13 | 86 | 1,369 | 10 | 15.9 | 105.3 |
| Career | 48 | 200 | 3,119 | 21 | 15.6 | 65.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
76%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 21% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.285
7.5 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.250
BMI 28.8 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (212 lbs)+0.245
Top Negative Factors
+9.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.709
Physical production synergy-0.488
Improvement accelerating (+17.2) — getting better faster each year-0.414