Player breakdown
Alshon Jeffery
South Carolina · 2012 Draft Class
6-3216 lbs2nd round, 45th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
EliteAll-American x11000+ NFL
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
92%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | CHI | 10 | 6 | 48 | 24 | 367 | 15.3 | 3 | 36.7 |
| 2013 | CHI | 16 | 14 | 148 | 89 | 1,421 | 16 | 7 | 88.8 |
| 2014 | CHI | 16 | 16 | 145 | 85 | 1,133 | 13.3 | 10 | 70.8 |
| 2015 | CHI | 9 | 8 | 94 | 54 | 807 | 14.9 | 4 | 89.7 |
| 2016 | CHI | 12 | 12 | 94 | 52 | 821 | 15.8 | 2 | 68.4 |
| 2017 | PHI | 16 | 16 | 120 | 57 | 789 | 13.8 | 9 | 49.3 |
| 2018 | PHI | 13 | 13 | 92 | 65 | 843 | 13 | 6 | 64.8 |
| 2019 | PHI | 10 | 10 | 73 | 43 | 490 | 11.4 | 4 | 49 |
| 2020 | PHI | 7 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 115 | 19.2 | 1 | 16.4 |
| Career | 109 | 97 | 827 | 475 | 6,786 | 14.3 | 46 | 62.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | South Carolina | SEC | 13 | 46 | 763 | 6 | 16.6 | 58.7 |
| 2010 | South Carolina | SEC | 14 | 88 | 1,517 | 9 | 17.2 | 108.4 |
| 2011 | South Carolina | SEC | 13 | 49 | 762 | 8 | 15.6 | 58.6 |
| Career | 40 | 183 | 3,042 | 23 | 16.6 | 76.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
94%
ML model output
Context Prob
87%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 20% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.113
Physical production synergy+0.428
BMI 27.0 — ideal frame for NFL WR (216 lbs)+0.253
Top Negative Factors
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.344
Recruit dominator synergy-0.242
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.30x — route-running independent of system-0.141