Player breakdown
Dez Bryant
Oklahoma St. · 2010 Draft Class
6-2225 lbs1st round, 24th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~37
EliteAll-American x11000+ NFL
Major awards: 1Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
95%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | DAL | 12 | 2 | 73 | 45 | 561 | 12.5 | 6 | 46.8 |
| 2011 | DAL | 15 | 13 | 103 | 63 | 928 | 14.7 | 9 | 61.9 |
| 2012 | DAL | 16 | 14 | 138 | 92 | 1,382 | 15 | 12 | 86.4 |
| 2013 | DAL | 16 | 16 | 159 | 93 | 1,233 | 13.3 | 13 | 77.1 |
| 2014 | DAL | 16 | 16 | 136 | 88 | 1,320 | 15 | 16 | 82.5 |
| 2015 | DAL | 9 | 9 | 72 | 31 | 401 | 12.9 | 3 | 44.6 |
| 2016 | DAL | 13 | 13 | 96 | 50 | 796 | 15.9 | 8 | 61.2 |
| 2017 | DAL | 16 | 16 | 132 | 69 | 838 | 12.1 | 6 | 52.4 |
| 2020 | BAL | 6 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 47 | 7.8 | 2 | 7.8 |
| Career | 119 | 99 | 920 | 537 | 7,506 | 14.0 | 75 | 63.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 12 | 43 | 622 | 6 | 14.5 | 51.8 |
| 2008 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 13 | 87 | 1,480 | 19 | 17 | 113.8 |
| 2009 | Oklahoma State | Big 12 | 3 | 17 | 323 | 4 | 19 | 107.7 |
| Career | 28 | 147 | 2,425 | 29 | 16.5 | 86.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
98%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
5
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.147
Physical production synergy+0.529
+29.6 ypg vs. draft class average — above average+0.297
Top Negative Factors
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.421
Recruit dominator synergy-0.239
Improvement accelerating (+1.4) — getting better faster each year-0.186