Player breakdown
Amari Rodgers
Clemson · 2021 Draft Class
5-9212 lbs3rd round, 85th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~26
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
59%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | GNB | 16 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 45 | 11.3 | 0 | 2.8 |
| 2022 | 2TM | 16 | 1 | 25 | 16 | 204 | 12.8 | 1 | 12.8 |
| 2022 | GNB | 10 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 50 | 12.5 | 0 | 5 |
| 2022 | HOU | 6 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 154 | 12.8 | 1 | 25.7 |
| 2023 | IND | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Career | 51 | 3 | 60 | 36 | 453 | 12.6 | 2 | 8.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Clemson | ACC | 14 | 19 | 123 | 0 | 6.5 | 8.8 |
| 2018 | Clemson | ACC | 15 | 55 | 575 | 4 | 10.5 | 38.3 |
| 2019 | Clemson | ACC | 14 | 30 | 426 | 4 | 14.2 | 30.4 |
| 2020 | Clemson | ACC | 12 | 77 | 1,020 | 7 | 13.2 | 85 |
| Career | 55 | 181 | 2,144 | 15 | 11.8 | 39.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
32%
ML model output
Context Prob
77%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
5
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 29% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.312
8.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.287
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.85 — elite recruit at elite school+0.190
Top Negative Factors
-17.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.723
Physical production synergy-0.561
Improvement accelerating (+7.3) — getting better faster each year-0.405