Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Anquan Boldin
Anquan Boldin

Player breakdown

Anquan Boldin

Florida St. · 2003 Draft Class

6-1216 lbs2nd round, 54th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~45
High1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

73%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2003ARI16161651011,37713.6886.1
2004ARI1091045662311.1162.3
2005ARI14141711021,40213.77100.1
2006ARI1616152831,20314.5475.2
2007ARI1211997185312971.1
2008ARI1211127891,03811.71186.5
2009ARI1515127841,02412.2468.3
2010BAL16161096483713.1752.3
2011BAL14141065788715.6363.4
2012BAL15151126592114.2461.4
2013SFO1616129851,17913.9773.7
2014SFO1616130831,06212.8566.4
2015SFO14131116978911.4456.4
2016DET161695675848.7836.5
Career2021981737107613,77912.88268.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000Florida StateACC1241664616.255.3
2002Florida StateACC14651,0111315.672.2
Career261061,6751915.864.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

75%

ML model output

Context Prob

57%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 19% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.289
0.73 TDs/game — dominant red-zone role in college+0.229
BMI 28.5 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (216 lbs)+0.222

Top Negative Factors

+7.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.718
Physical production synergy-0.304
Efficiency composite: 0.58 — average combined efficiency-0.212

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)