Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Anthony Schwartz
Anthony Schwartz

Player breakdown

Anthony Schwartz

Auburn · 2021 Draft Class

6-0186 lbs3rd round, 91st overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~26
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

6%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2021CLE142231013513.519.6
2022CLE1111045112.804.6
Career253331418613.317.4
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2018AuburnSEC1322357216.227.5
2019AuburnSEC1341440110.733.8
2020AuburnSEC1054636311.863.6
Career361171,433612.239.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

0%

ML model output

Context Prob

37%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.93 — elite recruit at elite school+0.191
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.05x — route-running independent of system+0.181
BMI 25.2 — ideal frame for NFL WR (186 lbs)+0.143

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 2% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.338
-14.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.569
Physical production synergy-0.415

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)