Player breakdown
Donovan Peoples-Jones
Michigan · 2020 Draft Class
6-2212 lbs6th round, 187th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~27
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
68%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | CLE | 12 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 304 | 21.7 | 2 | 25.3 |
| 2021 | CLE | 14 | 9 | 58 | 34 | 597 | 17.6 | 3 | 42.6 |
| 2022 | CLE | 17 | 14 | 96 | 61 | 839 | 13.8 | 3 | 49.4 |
| 2023 | 2TM | 15 | 6 | 25 | 13 | 155 | 11.9 | 0 | 10.3 |
| 2023 | CLE | 7 | 5 | 18 | 8 | 97 | 12.1 | 0 | 13.9 |
| 2023 | DET | 8 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 58 | 11.6 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Career | 73 | 37 | 224 | 135 | 2,050 | 15.2 | 8 | 28.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Michigan | Big Ten | 13 | 22 | 277 | 0 | 12.6 | 21.3 |
| 2018 | Michigan | Big Ten | 13 | 47 | 612 | 8 | 13 | 47.1 |
| 2019 | Michigan | Big Ten | 11 | 34 | 438 | 6 | 12.9 | 39.8 |
| Career | 37 | 103 | 1,327 | 14 | 12.9 | 35.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
33%
ML model output
Context Prob
83%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
6
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.228
Physical production synergy+0.272
Recruit rating × conference strength: 0.99 — elite recruit at elite school+0.186
Top Negative Factors
-20.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.733
Accounted for 1.76 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.422
Recruit dominator synergy-0.325