Player breakdown
Antonio Brown
Central Michigan · 2010 Draft Class
5-10186 lbs6th round, 195th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~38
High1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
63%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | BUF | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2005 | WAS | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2010 | PIT | 9 | 0 | 19 | 16 | 167 | 10.4 | 0 | 18.6 |
| 2011 | PIT | 16 | 3 | 124 | 69 | 1,108 | 16.1 | 2 | 69.3 |
| 2012 | PIT | 13 | 10 | 106 | 66 | 787 | 11.9 | 5 | 60.5 |
| 2013 | PIT | 16 | 14 | 167 | 110 | 1,499 | 13.6 | 8 | 93.7 |
| 2014 | PIT | 16 | 16 | 181 | 129 | 1,698 | 13.2 | 13 | 106.1 |
| 2015 | PIT | 16 | 16 | 193 | 136 | 1,834 | 13.5 | 10 | 114.6 |
| 2016 | PIT | 15 | 15 | 154 | 106 | 1,284 | 12.1 | 12 | 85.6 |
| 2017 | PIT | 14 | 14 | 163 | 101 | 1,533 | 15.2 | 9 | 109.5 |
| 2018 | PIT | 15 | 15 | 168 | 104 | 1,297 | 12.5 | 15 | 86.5 |
| 2019 | NWE | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 56 | 14 | 1 | 56 |
| 2020 | TAM | 8 | 4 | 62 | 45 | 483 | 10.7 | 4 | 60.4 |
| 2021 | TAM | 7 | 3 | 62 | 42 | 545 | 13 | 4 | 77.9 |
| Career | 169 | 110 | 1408 | 928 | 12,291 | 13.2 | 83 | 72.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | West Virginia | Big East | 11 | 45 | 721 | 1 | 16 | 65.5 |
| 2001 | West Virginia | Big East | 10 | 31 | 291 | 1 | 9.4 | 29.1 |
| 2006 | Kansas State | Big 12 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| 2007 | Central Michigan | MAC | 14 | 102 | 1,003 | 6 | 9.8 | 71.6 |
| 2008 | Central Michigan | MAC | 13 | 93 | 998 | 7 | 10.7 | 76.8 |
| 2009 | Central Michigan | MAC | 14 | 110 | 1,198 | 9 | 10.9 | 85.6 |
| Career | 68 | 383 | 4,220 | 24 | 11.0 | 62.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
67%
ML model output
Context Prob
55%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Physical production synergy+0.297
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 1.00x — route-running independent of system+0.175
0.54 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.172
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.712
Improvement accelerating (+132.1) — getting better faster each year-0.385
Recruit dominator synergy-0.202