Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Earl Bennett
Earl Bennett

Player breakdown

Earl Bennett

Vanderbilt · 2008 Draft Class

5-11209 lbs3rd round, 70th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~39
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

62%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2008CHI100100000
2009CHI1615885471713.3244.8
2010CHI143714656112.2340.1
2011CHI114432438115.9134.6
2012CHI124492937512.9231.3
2013CHI15343322437.6416.2
Career78292951852,27712.31229.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2005VanderbiltSEC1179876911.179.6
2006VanderbiltSEC12821,14661495.5
2007VanderbiltSEC1275830511.169.2
Career352362,8522012.181.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

65%

ML model output

Context Prob

45%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Physical production synergy+0.410
37.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.307
Accounted for 3.40 yards per team pass attempt — alpha receiver share+0.223

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.643
Efficiency composite: 0.66 — average combined efficiency-0.226
Recruit dominator synergy-0.182

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)