Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Bobby Wade
Bobby Wade

Player breakdown

Bobby Wade

Arizona · 2003 Draft Class

5-10193 lbs5th round, 139th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~45
EliteDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

76%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2003CHI121181213711.4011.4
2004CHI1614894248111.5030.1
20052TM14129141208.608.6
2005CHI120241080806.7
2005TEN21544010020
2006TEN162583346114228.8
2007MIN1612845464712340.4
2008MIN1614895364512.2240.3
2009KAN126743636710.2230.6
Career116514702582,97811.5925.7
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2000ArizonaPac-101045626313.962.6
2001ArizonaPac-101162882814.280.2
2002ArizonaPac-1012931,389814.9115.8
Career332002,8971914.587.8

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

80%

ML model output

Context Prob

50%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.268
39.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.319
+33.4 ypg vs. draft class average — class-leading production+0.284

Top Negative Factors

Physical production synergy-0.625
Improvement accelerating (+1.2) — getting better faster each year-0.307
Recruit dominator synergy-0.221

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)