Player breakdown
Auden Tate
Florida St. · 2018 Draft Class
6-5228 lbs7th round, 253rd overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~29
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
57%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | CIN | 7 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | 0 | 5 |
| 2019 | CIN | 12 | 10 | 80 | 40 | 575 | 14.4 | 1 | 47.9 |
| 2020 | CIN | 9 | 2 | 22 | 14 | 150 | 10.7 | 0 | 16.7 |
| 2021 | CIN | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 5.6 |
| Career | 35 | 12 | 118 | 61 | 799 | 13.1 | 2 | 22.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | Florida State | ACC | 12 | 25 | 409 | 6 | 16.4 | 34.1 |
| 2017 | Florida State | ACC | 12 | 40 | 548 | 10 | 13.7 | 45.7 |
| Career | 24 | 65 | 957 | 16 | 14.7 | 39.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
23%
ML model output
Context Prob
80%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
5
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 19% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.214
0.67 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.237
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.221
Top Negative Factors
-17.1 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.744
Physical production synergy-0.508
Accounted for 1.59 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.404