Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Devin Funchess
Devin Funchess

Player breakdown

Devin Funchess

Michigan · 2015 Draft Class

6-4232 lbs2nd round, 41st overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~32
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

43%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2015CAR165633147315.3529.6
2016CAR157582337116.1424.7
2017CAR16161116384013.3852.5
2018CAR1412794454912.5439.2
2019IND11533210.7032
Career62413161642,26513.82136.5
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2012MichiganBig Ten1315234515.618
2013MichiganBig Ten1349748615.357.5
2014MichiganBig Ten1162733411.866.6
Career371261,7151513.646.4

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

11%

ML model output

Context Prob

92%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

6

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 15% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.177
Physical production synergy+0.247
BMI 28.2 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (232 lbs)+0.235

Top Negative Factors

-10.6 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.750
Accounted for 1.89 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.425
0.41 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college-0.315

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)