Player breakdown
Kelvin Benjamin
Florida St. · 2014 Draft Class
6-5240 lbs1st round, 28th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~35
High1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
73%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | CAR | 16 | 15 | 145 | 73 | 1,008 | 13.8 | 9 | 63 |
| 2016 | CAR | 16 | 13 | 118 | 63 | 941 | 14.9 | 7 | 58.8 |
| 2017 | 2TM | 14 | 14 | 78 | 48 | 692 | 14.4 | 3 | 49.4 |
| 2017 | CAR | 8 | 8 | 51 | 32 | 475 | 14.8 | 2 | 59.4 |
| 2017 | BUF | 6 | 6 | 27 | 16 | 217 | 13.6 | 1 | 36.2 |
| 2018 | 2TM | 15 | 10 | 67 | 25 | 380 | 15.2 | 1 | 25.3 |
| 2018 | BUF | 12 | 10 | 62 | 23 | 354 | 15.4 | 1 | 29.5 |
| 2018 | KAN | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 0 | 8.7 |
| Career | 90 | 76 | 553 | 282 | 4,093 | 14.5 | 24 | 45.5 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | Florida State | ACC | 14 | 30 | 495 | 4 | 16.5 | 35.4 |
| 2013 | Florida State | ACC | 14 | 54 | 1,011 | 15 | 18.7 | 72.2 |
| Career | 28 | 84 | 1,506 | 19 | 17.9 | 53.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
75%
ML model output
Context Prob
65%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 19% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.269
0.68 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.241
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.237
Top Negative Factors
-3.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.729
Physical production synergy-0.328
Improvement accelerating (+1.0) — getting better faster each year-0.174