Player breakdown
Aundrae Allison
East Carolina · 2007 Draft Class
6-0198 lbs5th round, 146th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~40
HighDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
57%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | MIN | 11 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 122 | 15.3 | 0 | 11.1 |
| 2008 | MIN | 15 | 0 | 21 | 10 | 109 | 10.9 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Career | 26 | 0 | 40 | 18 | 231 | 12.8 | 0 | 8.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | East Carolina | CUSA | 11 | 83 | 1,024 | 7 | 12.3 | 93.1 |
| 2006 | East Carolina | CUSA | 11 | 62 | 708 | 4 | 11.4 | 64.4 |
| Career | 22 | 145 | 1,732 | 11 | 11.9 | 78.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
61%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.534
Physical production synergy+0.330
40.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.313
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.210
Efficiency composite: 0.56 — average combined efficiency-0.215
Physical upside: 0.92 — elite athletic ceiling-0.176