Player breakdown
Bernard Berrian
Fresno St. · 2004 Draft Class
6-1183 lbs3rd round, 78th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~45
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
54%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | CHI | 16 | 1 | 44 | 15 | 225 | 15 | 2 | 14.1 |
| 2005 | CHI | 11 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 246 | 18.9 | 0 | 22.4 |
| 2006 | CHI | 15 | 14 | 102 | 51 | 775 | 15.2 | 6 | 51.7 |
| 2007 | CHI | 16 | 15 | 128 | 71 | 951 | 13.4 | 5 | 59.4 |
| 2008 | MIN | 16 | 13 | 95 | 48 | 964 | 20.1 | 7 | 60.3 |
| 2009 | MIN | 16 | 15 | 92 | 55 | 618 | 11.2 | 4 | 38.6 |
| 2010 | MIN | 14 | 9 | 54 | 28 | 252 | 9 | 0 | 18 |
| 2011 | MIN | 5 | 1 | 23 | 7 | 91 | 13 | 0 | 18.2 |
| Career | 109 | 70 | 563 | 288 | 4,122 | 14.3 | 24 | 37.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Fresno State | WAC | 9 | 36 | 543 | 4 | 15.1 | 60.3 |
| 2001 | Fresno State | WAC | 13 | 76 | 1,270 | 13 | 16.7 | 97.7 |
| 2002 | Fresno State | WAC | 1 | 2 | 54 | 1 | 27 | 54 |
| 2003 | Fresno State | WAC | 14 | 63 | 668 | 4 | 10.6 | 47.7 |
| Career | 37 | 177 | 2,535 | 22 | 14.3 | 68.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
55%
ML model output
Context Prob
50%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.315
0.59 TDs/game — reliable scoring role in college+0.208
BMI 24.1 — ideal frame for NFL WR (183 lbs)+0.196
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.609
Improvement accelerating (+1.3) — getting better faster each year-0.329
Recruit dominator synergy-0.209