Player breakdown
Barion Brown
LSU · 2026 Draft Class
5-11177 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
38%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | Kentucky | SEC | 13 | 50 | 628 | 4 | 12.6 | 48.3 |
| 2023 | Kentucky | SEC | 13 | 43 | 539 | 4 | 12.5 | 41.5 |
| 2024 | Kentucky | SEC | 11 | 29 | 361 | 3 | 12.4 | 32.8 |
| 2025 | LSU | SEC | 13 | 53 | 532 | 1 | 10 | 40.9 |
| Career | 50 | 175 | 2,060 | 12 | 11.8 | 41.2 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
38%
ML model output
Context Prob
35%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 31% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.127
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.729
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.206
Top Negative Factors
-11.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.729
0.08 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.456
Accounted for 1.53 yards per team pass attempt — featured receiver share-0.397