Player breakdown
Kevin Curtis
Utah St. · 2003 Draft Class
5-11186 lbs3rd round, 74th overallAge at Draft: 25Age: ~48
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
92%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | STL | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 3.3 | 0 | 3.3 |
| 2004 | STL | 15 | 0 | 50 | 32 | 421 | 13.2 | 2 | 28.1 |
| 2005 | STL | 16 | 9 | 97 | 60 | 801 | 13.4 | 6 | 50.1 |
| 2006 | STL | 16 | 1 | 57 | 40 | 479 | 12 | 4 | 29.9 |
| 2007 | PHI | 16 | 16 | 135 | 77 | 1,110 | 14.4 | 6 | 69.4 |
| 2008 | PHI | 9 | 8 | 63 | 33 | 390 | 11.8 | 2 | 43.3 |
| 2009 | PHI | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 77 | 12.8 | 0 | 25.7 |
| 2010 | MIA | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 |
| Career | 81 | 36 | 424 | 253 | 3,297 | 13.0 | 20 | 40.7 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | Utah State | Ind | 11 | 100 | 1,531 | 10 | 15.3 | 139.2 |
| 2002 | Utah State | Ind | 11 | 74 | 1,258 | 9 | 17 | 114.4 |
| Career | 22 | 174 | 2,789 | 19 | 16.0 | 126.8 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
95%
ML model output
Context Prob
87%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
3
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.123
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.682
41.0% TD share at small school — dominant alpha receiver red-zone role+0.328
Top Negative Factors
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.344
Recruit dominator synergy-0.301
Physical production synergy-0.259