Player breakdown
Billy McMullen
Virginia · 2003 Draft Class
6-4210 lbs3rd round, 95th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~46
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
11%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | PHI | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.4 |
| 2004 | PHI | 8 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 24 | 8 | 0 | 3 |
| 2005 | PHI | 16 | 0 | 38 | 18 | 268 | 14.9 | 1 | 16.8 |
| 2006 | MIN | 16 | 0 | 42 | 23 | 307 | 13.3 | 2 | 19.2 |
| 2008 | SEA | 4 | 2 | 18 | 7 | 124 | 17.7 | 0 | 31 |
| Career | 49 | 2 | 118 | 52 | 725 | 13.9 | 3 | 14.8 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | Virginia | ACC | 11 | 30 | 541 | 3 | 18 | 49.2 |
| 2001 | Virginia | ACC | 12 | 83 | 1,060 | 12 | 12.8 | 88.3 |
| 2002 | Virginia | ACC | 14 | 69 | 894 | 3 | 13 | 63.9 |
| Career | 37 | 182 | 2,495 | 18 | 13.7 | 67.4 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
4%
ML model output
Context Prob
50%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
32.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.345
BMI 25.6 — ideal frame for NFL WR (210 lbs)+0.230
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.151
Top Negative Factors
Program WR pipeline: 3% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-1.287
Physical production synergy-0.476
+11.5 ypg vs. draft class average — above average-0.281