Player breakdown
Bo Melton
Rutgers · 2022 Draft Class
5-11189 lbs7th round, 229th overallAge at Draft: 23Age: ~27
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
14%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | GNB | 5 | 1 | 24 | 16 | 218 | 13.6 | 1 | 43.6 |
| 2024 | GNB | 17 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 91 | 11.4 | 0 | 5.4 |
| Career | 22 | 1 | 41 | 24 | 309 | 12.9 | 1 | 14.0 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 12 | 4 | 83 | 0 | 20.8 | 6.9 |
| 2018 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 12 | 28 | 245 | 0 | 8.8 | 20.4 |
| 2019 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 12 | 30 | 427 | 2 | 14.2 | 35.6 |
| 2020 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 9 | 47 | 638 | 6 | 13.6 | 70.9 |
| 2021 | Rutgers | Big Ten | 11 | 55 | 618 | 3 | 11.2 | 56.2 |
| Career | 56 | 164 | 2,011 | 11 | 12.3 | 35.9 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
9%
ML model output
Context Prob
41%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 12% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.117
6.9 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.267
BMI 26.4 — ideal frame for NFL WR (189 lbs)+0.232
Top Negative Factors
-18.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.763
0.20 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.454
Improvement accelerating (+6.7) — getting better faster each year-0.381