Player breakdown
Chris Conley
Georgia · 2015 Draft Class
6-2213 lbs3rd round, 76th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~33
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
46%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | KAN | 16 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 199 | 11.7 | 1 | 12.4 |
| 2016 | KAN | 16 | 11 | 69 | 44 | 530 | 12 | 0 | 33.1 |
| 2017 | KAN | 5 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 175 | 15.9 | 0 | 35 |
| 2018 | KAN | 16 | 13 | 52 | 32 | 334 | 10.4 | 5 | 20.9 |
| 2019 | JAX | 16 | 14 | 90 | 47 | 775 | 16.5 | 5 | 48.4 |
| 2020 | JAX | 15 | 4 | 63 | 40 | 471 | 11.8 | 2 | 31.4 |
| 2021 | HOU | 16 | 10 | 37 | 22 | 323 | 14.7 | 2 | 20.2 |
| 2022 | 2TM | 9 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 46 | 11.5 | 0 | 5.1 |
| 2022 | HOU | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022 | TEN | 7 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 46 | 11.5 | 0 | 6.6 |
| 2023 | SFO | 8 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 69 | 23 | 0 | 8.6 |
| 2024 | SFO | 15 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 76 | 12.7 | 0 | 5.1 |
| Career | 141 | 66 | 390 | 230 | 3,044 | 13.2 | 15 | 21.6 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Georgia | SEC | 11 | 16 | 288 | 2 | 18 | 26.2 |
| 2012 | Georgia | SEC | 14 | 20 | 342 | 6 | 17.1 | 24.4 |
| 2013 | Georgia | SEC | 11 | 45 | 651 | 4 | 14.5 | 59.2 |
| 2014 | Georgia | SEC | 13 | 36 | 657 | 8 | 18.3 | 50.5 |
| Career | 49 | 117 | 1,938 | 20 | 16.6 | 39.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
13%
ML model output
Context Prob
95%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
7
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 16% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.198
Scout dominator depth synergy+0.231
BMI 27.3 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (213 lbs)+0.207
Top Negative Factors
-16.4 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.779
Physical production synergy-0.530
Improvement accelerating (+1.3) — getting better faster each year-0.284