Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Boden Groen
Boden Groen

Player breakdown

Boden Groen

Kansas · 2026 Draft Class

6-4240 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

5%

SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2022RiceCUSA1297908.86.6
2023RiceAmerican133938339.829.5
2024RiceAmerican4129407.823.5
2025KansasBig 121236450512.537.5
Career41961,006810.524.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

4%

ML model output

Context Prob

30%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

0

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Recruit dominator synergy+0.391
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.251
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.80x — route-running independent of system+0.213

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 1% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-2.652
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.496
Improvement accelerating (+4.7) — getting better faster each year-0.481

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)