Player breakdown
Brandon Lloyd
Illinois · 2003 Draft Class
6-0184 lbs4th round, 124th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~45
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
92%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003 | SFO | 16 | 1 | 30 | 14 | 212 | 15.1 | 2 | 13.3 |
| 2004 | SFO | 13 | 13 | 89 | 43 | 565 | 13.1 | 6 | 43.5 |
| 2005 | SFO | 16 | 15 | 109 | 48 | 733 | 15.3 | 5 | 45.8 |
| 2006 | WAS | 15 | 12 | 57 | 23 | 365 | 15.9 | 0 | 24.3 |
| 2007 | WAS | 8 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 1.8 |
| 2008 | CHI | 11 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 364 | 14 | 2 | 33.1 |
| 2009 | DEN | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 117 | 14.6 | 0 | 58.5 |
| 2010 | DEN | 16 | 11 | 153 | 77 | 1,448 | 18.8 | 11 | 90.5 |
| 2011 | 2TM | 15 | 14 | 148 | 70 | 966 | 13.8 | 5 | 64.4 |
| 2011 | DEN | 4 | 4 | 31 | 19 | 283 | 14.9 | 0 | 70.8 |
| 2011 | STL | 11 | 10 | 117 | 51 | 683 | 13.4 | 5 | 62.1 |
| 2012 | NWE | 16 | 15 | 131 | 74 | 911 | 12.3 | 4 | 56.9 |
| 2014 | SFO | 14 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 294 | 21 | 1 | 21 |
| Career | 157 | 105 | 979 | 469 | 6,955 | 14.8 | 41 | 44.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | Illinois | Big Ten | 11 | 60 | 1,006 | 8 | 16.8 | 91.5 |
| 2002 | Illinois | Big Ten | 12 | 65 | 1,010 | 9 | 15.5 | 84.2 |
| Career | 23 | 125 | 2,016 | 17 | 16.1 | 87.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
98%
ML model output
Context Prob
57%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.163
Flat acceleration — consistent but not accelerating+0.790
34.0% TD share at small school — strong red-zone role+0.336
Top Negative Factors
Physical production synergy-0.268
Recruit dominator synergy-0.191
58.2 yards per adjusted target opportunity — solid efficiency vs. opportunities-0.159