Player breakdown
Braxton Berrios
Miami (FL) · 2018 Draft Class
5-9184 lbs6th round, 210th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~30
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
10%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | NYJ | 16 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 115 | 19.2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| 2020 | NYJ | 16 | 2 | 55 | 37 | 394 | 10.6 | 3 | 24.6 |
| 2021 | NYJ | 16 | 1 | 65 | 46 | 431 | 9.4 | 2 | 26.9 |
| 2022 | NYJ | 17 | 2 | 32 | 18 | 145 | 8.1 | 0 | 8.5 |
| 2023 | MIA | 16 | 1 | 33 | 27 | 238 | 8.8 | 1 | 14.9 |
| 2024 | MIA | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | HOU | 4 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 6.2 | 0 | 9.3 |
| Career | 91 | 6 | 210 | 140 | 1,360 | 9.7 | 6 | 14.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 12 | 21 | 232 | 3 | 11 | 19.3 |
| 2015 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 11 | 12 | 86 | 0 | 7.2 | 7.8 |
| 2016 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 13 | 12 | 178 | 2 | 14.8 | 13.7 |
| 2017 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 13 | 55 | 679 | 9 | 12.3 | 52.2 |
| Career | 49 | 100 | 1,175 | 14 | 11.8 | 24.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
7%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
1
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 17% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.174
Outperformed team passing efficiency by 0.89x — route-running independent of system+0.188
BMI 27.2 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (184 lbs)+0.150
Top Negative Factors
-28.2 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.725
Physical production synergy-0.535
0.29 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.408