Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Randall Cobb
Randall Cobb

Player breakdown

Randall Cobb

Kentucky · 2011 Draft Class

5-10191 lbs2nd round, 64th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~36
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

80%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2011GNB150312537515125
2012GNB1581048095411.9863.6
2013GNB64473143314472.2
2014GNB1616127911,28714.11280.4
2015GNB16151297982910.5651.8
2016GNB1310846061010.2446.9
2017GNB151492666539.9443.5
2018GNB96613838310.1242.6
2019DAL156835582815.1355.2
2020HOU102483844111.6344.1
2021GNB123392837513.4531.3
2022GNB133503441712.3132.1
2023NYJ111175397.813.5
Career166889126307,62412.15445.9
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2008KentuckySEC112119729.417.9
2009KentuckySEC1239447411.537.3
2010KentuckySEC13841,017712.178.2
Career361441,6611311.546.1

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

86%

ML model output

Context Prob

49%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 23% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.356
Recruit dominator synergy+0.360
Physical production synergy+0.237

Top Negative Factors

-8.3 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.690
Improvement accelerating (+4.2) — getting better faster each year-0.283
0.36 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.279

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)