
Player breakdown
Breshad Perriman
Central Florida · 2015 Draft Class
6-2212 lbs1st round, 26th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~32
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
32%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | BAL | 16 | 1 | 66 | 33 | 499 | 15.1 | 3 | 31.2 |
| 2017 | BAL | 11 | 3 | 35 | 10 | 77 | 7.7 | 0 | 7 |
| 2018 | CLE | 10 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 340 | 21.3 | 2 | 34 |
| 2019 | TAM | 14 | 4 | 69 | 36 | 645 | 17.9 | 6 | 46.1 |
| 2020 | NYJ | 12 | 12 | 60 | 30 | 505 | 16.8 | 3 | 42.1 |
| 2021 | TAM | 6 | 0 | 18 | 11 | 167 | 15.2 | 1 | 27.8 |
| 2022 | TAM | 11 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 110 | 12.2 | 1 | 10 |
| Career | 80 | 25 | 292 | 145 | 2,343 | 16.2 | 16 | 29.3 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | UCF | CUSA | 14 | 26 | 388 | 3 | 14.9 | 27.7 |
| 2013 | UCF | American | 12 | 39 | 811 | 4 | 20.8 | 67.6 |
| 2014 | UCF | American | 13 | 50 | 1,044 | 9 | 20.9 | 80.3 |
| Career | 39 | 115 | 2,243 | 16 | 19.5 | 57.5 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
28%
ML model output
Context Prob
55%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.209
Recruit dominator synergy+0.436
BMI 27.2 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (212 lbs)+0.230
Top Negative Factors
+1.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.753
Physical production synergy-0.423
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.392