Predicting the Pros
Predictions/Breshad Perriman
Breshad Perriman

Player breakdown

Breshad Perriman

Central Florida · 2015 Draft Class

6-2212 lbs1st round, 26th overallAge at Draft: 21Age: ~32
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

32%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2016BAL161663349915.1331.2
2017BAL1133510777.707
2018CLE102251634021.3234
2019TAM144693664517.9646.1
2020NYJ1212603050516.8342.1
2021TAM60181116715.2127.8
2022TAM11319911012.2110
Career80252921452,34316.21629.3
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2012UCFCUSA1426388314.927.7
2013UCFAmerican1239811420.867.6
2014UCFAmerican13501,044920.980.3
Career391152,2431619.557.5

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

28%

ML model output

Context Prob

55%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

2

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Program WR pipeline: 11% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.209
Recruit dominator synergy+0.436
BMI 27.2 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (212 lbs)+0.230

Top Negative Factors

+1.5 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.753
Physical production synergy-0.423
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.392

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)