Player breakdown
Demaryius Thomas
Georgia Tech · 2010 Draft Class
6-3224 lbs1st round, 22nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~38
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
75%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | DEN | 10 | 2 | 39 | 22 | 283 | 12.9 | 2 | 28.3 |
| 2011 | DEN | 11 | 5 | 70 | 32 | 551 | 17.2 | 4 | 50.1 |
| 2012 | DEN | 16 | 16 | 143 | 94 | 1,434 | 15.3 | 10 | 89.6 |
| 2013 | DEN | 16 | 16 | 142 | 92 | 1,430 | 15.5 | 14 | 89.4 |
| 2014 | DEN | 16 | 16 | 184 | 111 | 1,619 | 14.6 | 11 | 101.2 |
| 2015 | DEN | 16 | 16 | 177 | 105 | 1,304 | 12.4 | 6 | 81.5 |
| 2016 | DEN | 16 | 16 | 144 | 90 | 1,083 | 12 | 5 | 67.7 |
| 2017 | DEN | 16 | 16 | 140 | 83 | 949 | 11.4 | 5 | 59.3 |
| 2018 | 2TM | 15 | 15 | 89 | 59 | 677 | 11.5 | 5 | 45.1 |
| 2018 | DEN | 8 | 8 | 56 | 36 | 402 | 11.2 | 3 | 50.3 |
| 2018 | HOU | 7 | 7 | 33 | 23 | 275 | 12 | 2 | 39.3 |
| 2019 | NYJ | 11 | 10 | 58 | 36 | 433 | 12 | 1 | 39.4 |
| Career | 158 | 143 | 1275 | 783 | 10,440 | 13.3 | 68 | 66.1 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2007 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 13 | 35 | 558 | 4 | 15.9 | 42.9 |
| 2008 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 12 | 39 | 627 | 3 | 16.1 | 52.3 |
| 2009 | Georgia Tech | ACC | 14 | 46 | 1,154 | 8 | 25.1 | 82.4 |
| Career | 39 | 120 | 2,339 | 15 | 19.5 | 60.0 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
77%
ML model output
Context Prob
65%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 18% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.172
Physical production synergy+0.494
BMI 28.0 — outside ideal range for NFL WR (224 lbs)+0.254
Top Negative Factors
+3.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.719
Scout dominator depth synergy-0.403
0.38 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.269