Predicting the Pros
Predictions/T.Y. Hilton
T.Y. Hilton

Player breakdown

T.Y. Hilton

Florida International · 2012 Draft Class

5-9183 lbs3rd round, 92nd overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~36
Elite1000+ NFL
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch Highlights

Model confidence

Success Probability

85%

YearTeamGGSTgtRecYdsY/RTDY/G
2012IND151905086117.2757.4
2013IND1610139821,08313.2567.7
2014IND1515131821,34516.4789.7
2015IND1615134691,12416.3570.3
2016IND1616155911,44815.9690.5
2017IND16161095796616.9460.4
2018IND1414120761,27016.7690.7
2019IND1010684550111.1550.1
2020IND1515935676213.6550.8
2021IND109372333114.4333.1
2022DAL3010712117.3040.3
Career14612110866389,81215.45367.2
SeasonTeamConfGRecYdsTDYPRYPG
2008Florida InternationalSun Belt12411,013724.784.4
2009Florida InternationalSun Belt1257632511.152.7
2010Florida InternationalSun Belt1359848514.465.2
2011Florida InternationalSun Belt13721,038714.479.8
Career502293,5312415.470.6

Model readout

Probability, context, and base score

XGBoost Prob

91%

ML model output

Context Prob

47%

Rule-based model

Suppression Signals

1

Depth chart context

SHAP Base

0.955

Average prediction

Top Positive Factors

Improvement accelerating (+0.0) — getting better faster each year+0.617
Recruit dominator synergy+0.406
Physical production synergy+0.377

Top Negative Factors

Program WR pipeline: 5% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate-0.370
Efficiency consistency: 1.60 — highly consistent across seasons-0.234
National recruit rank: #1867 — unranked nationally-0.141

SHAP Feature Impact (Top 20)