Player breakdown
Bud Sasser
Missouri · 2015 Draft Class
6-3200 lbs6th round, 201st overallAge: ~33
LowDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
20%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Missouri | Big 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 5.3 | 1.8 |
| 2012 | Missouri | SEC | 12 | 10 | 231 | 1 | 23.1 | 19.3 |
| 2013 | Missouri | SEC | 13 | 26 | 361 | 1 | 13.9 | 27.8 |
| 2014 | Missouri | SEC | 14 | 77 | 1,003 | 12 | 13 | 71.6 |
| Career | 48 | 116 | 1,611 | 14 | 13.9 | 33.6 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
13%
ML model output
Context Prob
58%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
2
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 13% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.063
1.8 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.266
BMI 25.0 — ideal frame for NFL WR (200 lbs)+0.236
Top Negative Factors
-20.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.732
Physical production synergy-0.573
Improvement accelerating (+61.7) — getting better faster each year-0.509