Player breakdown
Markus Wheaton
Oregon St. · 2013 Draft Class
6-0180 lbs3rd round, 79th overallAge at Draft: 22Age: ~35
MediumDid Not Hit
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
45%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Year | Team | G | GS | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Y/R | TD | Y/G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | PIT | 12 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 64 | 10.7 | 0 | 5.3 |
| 2014 | PIT | 16 | 11 | 86 | 53 | 644 | 12.2 | 2 | 40.3 |
| 2015 | PIT | 16 | 8 | 79 | 44 | 749 | 17 | 5 | 46.8 |
| 2016 | PIT | 3 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 51 | 12.8 | 1 | 17 |
| 2017 | CHI | 11 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 51 | 17 | 0 | 4.6 |
| Career | 58 | 22 | 204 | 110 | 1,559 | 14.2 | 8 | 26.9 | |
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 12 | 8 | 89 | 0 | 11.1 | 7.4 |
| 2010 | Oregon State | Pac-10 | 12 | 55 | 675 | 4 | 12.3 | 56.3 |
| 2011 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 12 | 73 | 986 | 1 | 13.5 | 82.2 |
| 2012 | Oregon State | Pac-12 | 13 | 91 | 1,244 | 11 | 13.7 | 95.7 |
| Career | 49 | 227 | 2,994 | 16 | 13.2 | 61.1 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
18%
ML model output
Context Prob
78%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
4
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Program WR pipeline: 26% NFL 1000-yard conversion rate+1.200
Physical production synergy+0.331
7.4 ypg as a freshman — limited first-year impact+0.270
Top Negative Factors
+8.9 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.676
Improvement accelerating (+13.0) — getting better faster each year-0.492
0.33 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.336