Player breakdown
Carsen Ryan
BYU · 2026 Draft Class
6-4250 lbsUndrafted / UpcomingAge: ~22
Low
Major awards: 0Heisman votes: 0NIL Contract Value: --
Watch HighlightsModel confidence
Success Probability
6%
Closest matches
NFL comparables
| Season | Team | Conf | G | Rec | Yds | TD | YPR | YPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 5 | 6 | 82 | 0 | 13.7 | 16.4 |
| 2023 | UCLA | Pac-12 | 12 | 13 | 205 | 3 | 15.8 | 17.1 |
| 2024 | Utah | Big 12 | 12 | 10 | 113 | 1 | 11.3 | 9.4 |
| 2025 | BYU | Big 12 | 14 | 45 | 620 | 3 | 13.8 | 44.3 |
| Career | 43 | 74 | 1,020 | 7 | 13.8 | 23.7 | ||
Model readout
Probability, context, and base score
XGBoost Prob
5%
ML model output
Context Prob
30%
Rule-based model
Suppression Signals
0
Depth chart context
SHAP Base
0.955
Average prediction
Top Positive Factors
Recruit dominator synergy+0.420
Season-to-season ypg consistency: 0.00 — variable output+0.249
Class YPR rank: top 22% — strong per-target efficiency+0.227
Top Negative Factors
+0.0 ypg vs. draft class average — below class average-0.732
Improvement accelerating (+6.6) — getting better faster each year-0.590
0.21 TDs/game — limited scoring role in college-0.397